29/06/2026 7:09 AMMiddle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines
Sometimes, inside an American administration, the real divisions are not expressed openly. Officially, everyone is aligned behind the president. Officially, there is only one strategy, one line, one diplomacy. But in reality, files often speak more clearly than official statements.
This is what we...
24/06/2026 11:27 AMEl ocaso del eje de la resistencia: cómo el colapso de Siria e Irán redibuja el tablero de Oriente Medi
La reconfiguración del orden político en Oriente Medio ha alcanzado un punto de inflexión histórico tras los recientes cambios estructurales en Siria y la profunda degradación interna de la República Islámica de Irán.
Este...
22/06/2026 7:47 AMThe Iranian Theorem
By signing a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, Washington has ended a four-month war. On paper, the text can be read as an American victory: a ceasefire, the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, an Iranian commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons, and a 60-day negotiation window. So the White House can...
18/06/2026 12:43 PMU.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival
There are agreements that end a war. And there are agreements that simply move the battlefield. The one that could be signed between the United States and Iran likely belongs to the latter category.
"Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif claims that a final text has been found and that a...
18/06/2026 9:12 AMEl plan oculto tras la paz en Iran:Por qué Israel y Estados ya dise diseñan la estocada final
La prolongación del conflicto armado en Oriente Medio generaría un impacto asimétrico irreversible, donde Irán sufriría una implosión estructural interna mientras que las potencias occidentales e Israel capitalizarían la guerra...
Reflection on the current geopolitical situation
For a long time, people thought that diplomacy was supposed to end wars. We signed treaties, drew borders, and established new balances, then history resumed its course. This vision is becoming less relevant. The world of June 16, 2026, shows us something else: contemporary diplomacy no...
16/06/2026 5:54 PMRilettura strategica delle equazioni militari e diplomatiche ai confini occidentali dell'Iran
1. Deterrenza difensiva e ostacoli a un'invasione di terra dai confini occidentali
L'assenza di un'azione militare di terra contro l'Iran attraverso i suoi confini occidentali è dettata da due fattori chiave: fortificazioni e prontezza al...
14/06/2026 10:33 AMThe architecture of the deal: russian withdrawal, chinese exposure, manufactured dissent, and the seven variables Washington is not namin
Three structural facts are pressing against each other simultaneously: Russia has quietly removed its nuclear personnel from Iran; China is absorbing the financial consequences of losing its primary...
06/06/2026 5:46 PMThe Return of the Sacre
Abstract
The essay analyzes the transformation of the interpretive categories through which the West reads 21st century conflicts, arguing that the demise of the great twentieth-century ideologies has not produced a reduction in the need for meaning, but its reconfiguration into more resilient forms of...
25/05/2026 10:51 AMWhile waiting for the agreement?
Given the latest available evidence, an imminent agreement would probably not yet be a peace, but rather a strategic truce dressed up as a political accord. The information refers to a text including an extension of the ceasefire by 60 days, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of the...
21/05/2026 7:35 PMThe War of Time: Iran Has Already Lost?
All the media, political experts and analysts claim that Iran excels in the art of negotiations and that the more time passes, the more it seems to be a victory for Iran against the United States.
The narrative of “Iran wins by negotiating” is based on a classic miscalculation: it...
14/05/2026 5:33 PMA Photograph of the New World Orde
This trip is a strategic parity scene. Not just a discussion about Iran, Taiwan, or prices. Beijing wants to show that the Sino-American relationship is no longer resolved in a fashion of "Washington decides", "Beijing reacts". China wants to impose another grammar: two great powers, two systems, two...
14/05/2026 5:15 PMSullo Stretto di Hormuz non si dovrebbe negoziare: perché l'Italia deve scegliere da che parte stare
Il 13 maggio 2026, il presidente Trump ha dichiarato che il cessate il fuoco con l'Iran è "in terapia intensiva." Teheran aveva appena consegnato la sua risposta alla proposta americana tramite Islamabad. La risposta era inaccettabile....
11/05/2026 11:40 AMThe victory of strategic fog
There are times when geopolitics can no longer be read in official communiqués, but in the uncertainty they produce. The crisis between the United States and Iran has entered this strange zone where no one—neither the military, nor the diplomats, nor the communication experts—is able to tell if we are...
11/05/2026 7:00 AMTHE MYTH OF A SINGLE POINT OF FAILUR
PREAMBLE: THE ARTICLE THAT SET THE NARRATIVE IN MOTION
This analysis originates from a widely circulated report titled:
“IRAN WARNS STRAIT OF HORMUZ CABLES ARE VULNERABLE, RAISING RISK TO GLOBAL INTERNET AND DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE”
(Israel Realtime, April 28, 2026)
The article...
07/05/2026 6:04 AMIran : l’inflexibilité comme dernière défense du régime
La vraie question n’est peut-être pas : pourquoi les Gardiens de la Révolution ne cèdent-ils pas ? La vraie question est plutôt : peuvent-ils encore céder sans se condamner eux-mêmes ?
L’Iran d’aujourd’hui n’est pas seulement un État sous pression. C’est...
27/04/2026 9:25 AMIran After the Mullahs: When the Revolution Devours Its Cleric
What the US-Israel war may have ended is not the Islamic Republic as a state. It is the theocracy that has structured it since 1979. In its place emerges another order: harder, colder, and also more readable. No longer a regime dominated by the clerics, but a revolutionary...
24/04/2026 10:42 AMTra Clausewitz e Sun Tzu: la fine delle gerarchie e l’ascesa dell’interdipendenza strategica
Abbiamo letto con attenzione i recenti interventi del già Ambasciatore in Giordania, in Libia e a Malta, nonché accreditatissimo esperto delle questioni riguardanti le regioni dell’Asia a noi prossime, Kanwal Sibal Trigunayat e, più...
24/04/2026 10:30 AMLa Geometría del Caos: Disección de la Arquitectura Asimétrica de Irán en 2026
Introducción: Las Dos Caras del Telón de Acero Chií
Para entender la geopolítica global del siglo XXI, es imperativo realizar una disección quirúrgica de Irán. No del Irán de las postales persas, ni siquiera del Irán que sufre bajo las...
19/04/2026 8:44 AMComment Washington a instrumentalisé la stratégie iranienne dans le détroi
C’est une figure commode dans le commentaire contemporain: celle qui consiste à se moquer de Donald Trump pour mieux éviter de l’analyser. La fermeture du détroit d’Ormuz par l’Iran, présentée pendant des semaines comme une victoire iranienne...